Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.208256 0.293622 0.389980 0.504368 0.634329 0.775590 0.939058
2025-06-29 0.089995 0.189647 0.322028 0.497255 0.712851 0.961537 1.263160
2025-07-06 0.050377 0.153085 0.307849 0.527196 0.809133 1.144124 1.559388
2025-07-13 0.028420 0.130923 0.305353 0.566792 0.913996 1.335258 1.865265
2025-07-20 0.014371 0.112404 0.301847 0.600337 1.007642 1.510108 2.149555
2025-07-27 0.008602 0.107890 0.318220 0.660265 1.134638 1.725513 2.482378
2025-08-03 0.003431 0.097147 0.321141 0.699055 1.232710 1.904413 2.770814
2025-08-10 0.000163 0.077734 0.303746 0.704949 1.284978 2.024790 2.987336
2025-08-17 NaN 0.048228 0.256800 0.659928 1.264170 2.050055 3.085345
2025-08-24 NaN 0.025181 0.210593 0.608952 1.230355 2.055281 3.155869
2025-08-31 NaN 0.014195 0.186701 0.591253 1.241163 2.116457 3.294452
2025-09-07 NaN 0.009208 0.177812 0.598521 1.287431 2.223702 3.490566
2025-09-14 NaN 0.003775 0.159554 0.588478 1.310603 2.304627 3.659711
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000600 0.139138 0.571418 1.322328 2.370399 3.810569
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000328 0.144400 0.606252 1.413562 2.543402 4.098312
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000244 0.152910 0.648060 1.515871 2.731770 4.406194
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000112 0.158783 0.684240 1.609466 2.908395 4.699174
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000355 0.177593 0.748282 1.746838 3.144936 5.069500
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000264 0.185807 0.789696 1.848921 3.333512 5.378345
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.177852 0.795976 1.895826 3.446779 5.590351
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.146804 0.747935 1.855237 3.439135 5.645630
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.115957 0.693419 1.800841 3.410208 5.671557
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.101210 0.674459 1.802458 3.457742 5.795704